NASCAR Loop Data: Marquee Names Teetering On Bubble

NASCAR Loop Data: Marquee Names Teetering On Bubble

NASCAR Loop Data: Marquee Names Teetering On Bubble


After this weekend’s Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway, the top 35 cars in 2009 owner points will be guaranteed a starting spot in each week’s race (for the first five races, the 2008 owner points were used).

That could spell trouble for two marquee drivers: Mark Martin and Ryan Newman.

Martin’s No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet sits exactly on the top-35 bubble – in 35th place, nine points ahead of the No. 8 Earnhardt Ganassi Chevrolet driven by Aric Almirola.

Newman enjoys a slightly more comfortable position – 32nd, 38 points ahead of Almirola.

Below are their stats through four races this season:

                                Avg.
Driver                     Finish      ARP        FLR        LT15%       DR             Led
Ryan Newman         27.8          24.1        10             30.3%       62.4            3
Mark Martin             31.8          17.2        31             60.3%       86.4            7 

ARP: Average Running Position
FLR: Fastest Laps Run
LT15%: Percentage of Laps in the Top 15
DR: Driver Rating

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The above numbers illustrate the bad luck Martin has encountered this season (whereas Newman’s statistics generally match his standings position). In fact, Martin ranks in the top 15 in most key Loop Data statistics.  For instance:

Driver Rating                   

Driver                        DR
1. Jeff Gordon          120.5
2. Kurt Busch          108.2
3. Carl Edwards       104.3        
4. Jimmie Johnson   104.2
5. Kyle Busch          104.0
13. Mark Martin      86.4

Average Running Position                    

Driver                       ARP
1. Jeff Gordon          5.818
2. Jimmie Johnson   8.487
3. Kurt Busch          8.507        
4. Carl Edwards       8.583
5. Denny Hamlin      11.389
14. Mark Martin      17.167

Fastest Laps Run                    

Driver                       FLR
1. Jeff Gordon          100
2. Kurt Busch          94
3. Greg Biffle           90             
4. Jimmie Johnson   81
5. Kyle Busch          59
7. Mark Martin        31

The statistics suggest that sooner or later luck should turn for Martin. But the big question could be this: After a two-year Bristol layoff, how will Martin fare?

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