Loop Data Provides Insight To Scouting Sunday’s Goody’s Cool Orange 500



Check out the top-eight drivers in the Driver Rating standings from Sunday’s race. Half of them failed to finish in the race’s top 10.

Food City 500

Driver               Rating     Actual Finish

1. Kyle Busch       121.0         1st

2. Denny Hamlin     118.5       14th

3. Tony Stewart       114.4       35th

4. Greg Biffle         111.6         5th

5. Kevin Harvick       104.2         4th

6. Kasey Kahne       103.2         19th

7. Jamie McMurray   101.3         9th

8. Elliott Sadler       101.0       27th


Stewart, Hamlin and Sadler all led laps, while Kahne ran up front for much of the race. Each of those drivers’ finishes aren’t indicative of how they performed that day. That’s where the Driver Rating comes in.

The same goes for the entire season. It is interesting to compare the NASCAR NEXTEL Cup Series driver standings with the Driver Rating standings, especially this early in the season. With just five races run, the sampling is smaller and the results of the comparison are much more telling. Below are the season-to-date Driver Ratings.

Season-to-date

Driver             Rating   Points Position

1. Tony Stewart     108.5         12th

2. Jimmie Johnson   108.3           3rd

3. Jeff Burton       107.6           2nd

4. Jeff Gordon       105.0           1st

5. Mark Martin       104.5         7th

6. Matt Kenseth     103.7         4th

7. Kyle Busch         96.7           6th

8. Clint Bowyer       90.6           8th

9. Carl Edwards       89.1         10th

10. Kurt Busch       86.8         20th

The chart shows Stewart – though he’s not in the top 10 in the driver standings – as the top driver over the first five races of this season. Additionally, the Driver Rating standings have Kurt Busch as the 10th rated driver, yet he sits in 20th place in the series standings. Busch has run strong (he’s led in three of the five races this season), but bad luck has often bitten him.

Over a full season, the numbers should shake out more evenly as talent overcomes bad luck and good drivers and good cars get the finishes they deserve. For instance, only Stewart and Greg Biffle were in the top 10 in Driver Rating – but not the top 10 in points – after Homestead in 2006. They finished 11th and 13th, respectively, in the series standings.

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Look for Stewart to rebound this weekend at Martinsville. His name is at or near the top of a number of pre-race Loop Data statistics. Stewart has the top Driver Rating (129.4) and the top Average Running Position (4.168).

And Stewart leads in arguably the two most important speed factors – especially at a short track like Martinsville. Stewart has the highest number of Fastest Laps Run (252) and the fastest Speed in Traffic.

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